Borrowing was £17.4bn last month, the second highest October figure since monthly records began in 1993.
Finito World
France is ablaze—with political crisis spilling into economic anxiety, and ripples stretching all the way to the UK’s doorstep. When Prime Minister François Bayrou lost a confidence vote over his contentious deficit-cutting plans—including pension freezes and scrapping public holidays—markets reacted sharply. President Macron now finds himself searching for a fifth prime minister in two years, in a nation teetering between reform and paralysis.
Business leaders are warning that France’s stagnation threatens not just recession at home, but broader instability across the Eurozone. Bond markets are already flashing warning signs. France now faces the ignominy of borrowing at rates higher than many struggling southern economies—a sharp reversal for what was once Europe’s second-most stable credit. The risk to employment and business confidence is significant.
In the UK, this instability has consequences. France remains one of Britain’s most important trading partners. A disruption in French demand slows the wheels of commerce on both sides of the Channel—delaying contracts, denting forecasts, and deflating the fragile optimism that post-Brexit trade deals have tried to instil. British exporters already struggling with higher costs and complex regulations now face yet more uncertainty.
The potential hit to jobs and growth is real. Entrepreneurs, small businesses and multinational firms all know what instability means: fewer orders, risk-averse investment, and a reluctance to hire. That’s not to mention the impact on financial services, logistics, and professional services—areas where UK firms have long relied on strong Franco-British ties. When a core European partner wobbles, London doesn’t stand still.
Meanwhile, Britain’s own political climate is entering a turbulent phase. With Labour under pressure ahead of a difficult Budget, and questions around whether promised reforms can be delivered in time, the UK’s response to international volatility must be more strategic than ever. Britain cannot afford to simply watch France stumble—it must build resilience into its own systems. That means boosting regional employability, investing in youth training, and supporting SMEs to weather global storms.
In truth, the crisis in France is not just about French politics—it is a mirror for the West. Austerity without growth, reform without clarity, and leadership without consensus can trigger deep public fatigue. The consequences aren’t just ideological—they’re human. They land in the inboxes of HR departments, in the hiring freezes of medium-sized firms, and in the hopes of graduates entering a volatile market.
This is not a time for alarmism, but for realism. British businesses must brace for an unpredictable autumn. And for job-seekers, adaptability has never been more valuable. When political stability falters, economic survival depends on the flexibility of its people—and their willingness to think creatively about where their future lies.
France may be the epicentre of this particular storm, but no one is immune to the aftershocks.